广州市邮件业务量对确定运能需求的研究

为了合理利用车辆资源,为决策提供理论依据,本文采用多元统计回归分析法与模糊数学优化法,为广州市邮政局车辆运能研究,建立了数学模型,并附有项目软件,计算结果与实际情况吻合较好。这样,对合理利用邮政车辆资源,提高运营效率,具有一定的意义。     

某新型主战坦克超越射击时至友军的安全距离

在分析影响坦克超越射击时至友军安全距离主要因素的基础上,结合某新型主战坦克炮口冲击波超压试验数据,通过运用M athem atica软件对数据进行统计处理和理论分析计算,提出了某新型主战坦克超越射击时至友军的安全距离,为我军新型主战坦克安全地实施超越射击提供了可靠的理论依据。     

地球静止轨道高能电子通量在线预测模型研究

利用粒子群优化算法和最小二乘支持向量机，建立了地球静止轨道高能电子通量(1.8-3.5MeV)在线预测模型。针对粒子群优化算法，提出了一种新的粒子群多样性测度计算方法，有效改善了其早熟收敛现象；基于改进的粒子群优化算法优化最小二乘支持向量机的正则化参数和核参数；利用滑动时间窗口策略更新模型数据，设计变量选择触发机制以及模型的再学习机制实现模型的在线预测功能。[根据题目的调整，对摘要做了相应改动]通过对2000年电子通量监测数据和相关太阳风、地磁参数等实际数据进行提前1-3天的预测实验，表明了所建在线预测模型具有较高的预测性能，有一定的实用价值。     

The solution to an open problem for a caching game

In a caching game introduced by Alpern et al. (Alpern et al., Lecture notes in computer science (2010) 220–233) a Hider who can dig to a total fixed depth normalized to 1 buries a fixed number of objects among n discrete locations. A Searcher who can dig to a total depth of h searches the locations with the aim of finding all of the hidden objects. If he does so, he wins, otherwise the Hider wins. This zero‐sum game is complicated to analyze even for small values of its parameters, and for the case of 2 hidden objects has been completely solved only when the game is played in up to 3 locations. For some values of h the solution of the game with 2 objects hidden in 4 locations is known, but the solution in the remaining cases was an open question recently highlighted by Fokkink et al. (Fokkink et al., Search theory: A game theoretic perspective (2014) 85–104). Here we solve the remaining cases of the game with 2 objects hidden in 4 locations. We also give some more general results for the game, in particular using a geometrical argument to show that when there are 2 objects hidden in n locations and n→∞, the value of the game is asymptotically equal to h/n for h≥n/2. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 23–31, 2016     

空间拦截零控脱靶量与末段制导能量需求的近似计算

基于理想二体假设下的弹道方程解析式,忽略重力在拦截末段对拦截器和目标运动状态的影响.推导了空间拦截初始制导偏差与终端零控脱靶量之间的线性近似计算式,并以速度增量的大小来近似描述拦截末端主动寻的制导段的能量需求,给出了拦截末段制导最小能量需求与零控脱靶量、探测距离之间的近似关系.通过数字仿真测试了近似计算的准确性.     

New results on a stochastic duel game with each force consisting of heterogeneous units

Two forces engage in a duel, with each force initially consisting of several heterogeneous units. Each unit can be assigned to fire at any opposing unit, but the kill rate depends on the assignment. As the duel proceeds, each force—knowing which units are still alive in real time—decides dynamically how to assign its fire, in order to maximize the probability of wiping out the opposing force before getting wiped out. It has been shown in the literature that an optimal pure strategy exists for this two‐person zero‐sum game, but computing the optimal strategy remained cumbersome because of the game's huge payoff matrix. This article gives an iterative algorithm to compute the optimal strategy without having to enumerate the entire payoff matrix, and offers some insights into the special case, where one force has only one unit. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 56–65, 2014     

舰炮弹丸对零航路捷径超声速导弹的侵彻分析

以零航路捷径下小口径舰炮弹丸对超声速反舰导弹的侵彻毁伤效果为研究方向,仿真计算了零航路捷径下小口径舰炮弹丸与超声速反舰导弹的交汇姿态,建立了反舰导弹模型,在此基础上就不同侵彻部位及交汇角度条件下小口径舰炮弹丸对超声速反舰导弹的侵彻毁伤效果进行了有限元仿真,得出了具有统计意义的仿真结果,总结了弹丸无法毁伤导弹战斗部的几点因素。研究对有效评价小口径舰炮弹丸对超声速反舰导弹的毁伤效果以及对导弹整体的易损性分析提供了理论参考。     

难加工材料3种优化指标的应用特性

采用刀具耐用度、切削里程、材料去除总量对同一组难加工材料进行正交试验,结果表明:采用刀具耐用度作为评价指标进行优化时,其结果往往是对应于最小的切削用量,高的刀具耐用度并不对应于高的切削能力和切削效率,优化结果存在较大的局限性;切削里程和材料去除总量在实际生产中分别代表已加工表面的形成量和总切削量,可以较好地反映切削参数与应用效果之间的关系,作为评价指标时,两者较刀具耐用度的评价更为有效。不同指标的评价结果不同,应用时需根据实际情况进行有针对性的选择。     

基于矢量运算的舰空弹对抗反舰弹脱靶量分析

脱靶量是舰空导弹重要的作战性能指标,针对某型导弹,从攻防对抗的机理出发,采用矢量运算概念描述舰空导弹对抗反舰导弹的脱靶量。结合矢量运算法则,建立舰空导弹拦截矢量模型、反舰导弹机动矢量模型,同时考虑了导引头噪声和舵系统的过载限制,提出了一种制导盲区脱靶量的解算方法。然后针对不同运动特性的目标、不同干扰强度进行仿真计算。仿真结果表明,目标运动特性和导引头干扰误差等因素对脱靶量大小影响显著,为评价舰空导弹作战效能和有针对性的采取拦截措施提供了技术参考。     

甲B类液体全压力储罐消防设计问题研究

对沸点低于45℃的甲B类液体全压力储罐消防设计、审查过程中存在的问题进行了较为全面的分析,并针对这些问题提出了解决的方法,为进一步完善相关工程设计规范和有效地执行这些规范提供了实例,以期给同类工程提供有益借鉴.